Learn How To Trade Oil
Fed up with the weekly rise in petrol prices? Hey, if you can’t beat ‘em, why not join ‘em. Instead of moaning about the Arabs, Chelsea tractors and Jeremy Clarkson why not thank them and learn how to make money out of the oil price?
In this ‘Dummies guide to trading oil’ I’ll be having a look at the major ‘need to knows’ of the oil market, the mechanics of trading commodities and what you need to watch out for.
Many who have read this book recommend it.
On July 11th Crude Oil hit a new record high of just over $147 a barrel – an awe-inspiring rise of 110% from last July. Over the same period the Dow fell by around 22%. This Tuesday (15th July) witnessed the biggest 1-day fall in oil for 18 years.
Folks, this is a great traders’ market.
How To Trade Oil Without Getting Dirty
There are two contracts available, Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate:
Brent Crude is the UK contract on oil sourced from the North Sea. And, hey! The UK might be crap at rugby, football, and cricket, but two thirds of the world’s internationally traded oil, from Europe, Africa and the Middle East, is priced relative to UK Brent Crude. In the big boys market Brent Crude is traded in London as something called Futures contracts, which are priced in US Dollars.
West Texas Intermediate is the US equivalent to Brent Crude. Also known as US Light Sweet Crude (or any derivation of these words), this one is again traded as a Futures contract but in New York this time.
Now, all you traders with enough balls and attention span to run your positions over a period of days and weeks, pay attention here. Oil spread bets are monthly contracts. This means that:
a) You don’t pay any rollover charges; the bet will run until the contract ends.
b) You do need to put a note on your Kylie Minogue calendar that the spread bet runs out (expires) on a definite date.
c) Now, get this. The spread bet runs out (contract expires) in the middle of the month before the month it says on the tin.
So, for example, the Brent Crude October contract on paddypowertrader runs out (expires) on 13th September and the November contract finishes on the 12th October. How dumb is that? It smacks of interference from a country that already writes the date back to front.
What To Watch When Trading Oil
Good news if you have the attention span of a goldfish; trading oil means watching lots of telly. Wu hoo!
However you won’t get rich watching the Playboy channel, while repeats of Dallas on UK Gold might be good for motivation but not much else. Trading oil is very news-orientated so keep CNBC on 24/7.
The most specific economic data to focus on are the US weekly oil and gas inventory figures, issued by the Energy Information
Administration and released every week on Wednesday afternoons. If you trade oil you can’t afford to miss these.
Being aware of the US Driving Season (apparently the land of the gas-guzzler has a particular season for driving, starting on Memorial Day at the end of May and finishing on Labour Day at the start of September) will definitely work in your favour, and also pay attention to cold winters when we all turn the heating up.
Something that’s more important again is the US Hurricane Season, which officially runs from 1st June to 30th November, but don’t expect the forces of nature to pay too much attention to the dates. An average season has 11 named storms with six growing into hurricanes, but only two reach major hurricane status. So don’t go buying oil every time your weathercock spins round.
So why is the hurricane season so significant to the oil market in particular? Hurricanes tend to hit the Gulf of Mexico, which is filled to the rafters with oilrigs (over 20 rigs went missing due to Hurricane Katrina in 2005).
Next take a look at the world’s big oil producers. You won’t find oil gushing out of countries like Belgium, Holland or Sweden, where even mentioning their name is soporific. No, putting aside the comparatively stable USA and Saudi Arabia, God blessed the world’s more excitable countries with the power and wealth of massive oil supplies. A short roll call includes Iraq, Iran, Libya, Nigeria, Venezuela and Russia, where a few well-chosen words from a president can send you sprinting to the ‘trade’ button.
So What’s Driving The Oil Price?
Ask any politician and he’ll spit out the word, ‘Speculators’. Out in the real world there are a number of factors, though most hone in on the common perception that demand is greater than supply. This list is far from exhaustive, but will give you a feel for what matters:
The easy-to-get oil has already been drilled. The next easiest to get oil is the wrong type; it’s ’sour’ (rather than ’sweet’) and more expensive to refine. There may be vast oil reserves in places like Canada’s tar sands, but these will be hugely expensive to get at.
Geo-political tensions in oil-producing countries. One day it’s militants in Nigeria, another day its Israel and Iran at each other’s throats. Tomorrow it’ll be someone else. These tensions are hugely significant because whenever someone throws their toys out the pram it threatens to disrupt the supply of oil.
The Dollar. Oil is priced in Dollars, so if the Dollar falls the oil price rises to maintain a constant value in other currencies. This move has been compounded by investors piling money into oil as a hedge against the weaker Dollar.
Inventories. The oil price is massively sensitive to the build up, or run down, of oil supplies. The most keenly watched figures are the stats from the US Energy Information Administration, released each Wednesday.
How To Trade Oil
You can either trade oil through the equity market or through the oil spread bet. Let’s have a look at equities first.
Now here’s something to make you choke on your sandwich; the oil majors are having a really crap time!
But why? Well, it may not seem like it to you and me, but part of the problem is that petrol prices haven’t kept up with the rise in crude prices; the jargon is that the refining margins have fallen, and that’s quite a significant chunk of their business. The other problem is that these guys spend a lot of time sticking rods in the ground to see if anything spurts up and that costs a lot of money.
There are exceptions; smaller companies like Tullow Oil and Dana Petroleum have had a cracking time. Each new discovery has notched up a couple of quid on the share price. And they’ve got the added attraction that one of the majors might decide it’s cheaper to bid for them than to look for new reserves itself.
Until recently few people outside of Ireland had heard of Tullow. Nowadays, after several successful oil discoveries, it’s a FTSE 100 company.
There are alternative ways of playing the oil price. The rise and fall of shares in airline companies has been related to the oil price. However, there are other factors too (BA suffered the Terminal 5 debacle) so it’s not a perfect strategy.
The purest solution, if you want to follow the rise and fall of oil, is to trade the commodity itself. And spread betting is arguably the most convenient way of doing that.
Conclusion
So now you should be armed with the ideas on how to trade oil, who and what are important and a rough idea of the sort of things that drive the oil price.
Just a word of warning for newbies. Hidden inside this mountainous price rise are some nasty crevices. The volatility that makes this market so great can still eat you up and spit out the bony bits. Do your trading capital a big, big favour and use a demo account for a while whilst you learn the tricks of the market. Then edge in gently with small bet sizes. There’s no rush, there’ll always be a market to trade in when you’re ready.
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Mr FT is a self-employed spread better. After 18 years in fund management he was given the choice of moving to London or .. not. ‘Not’ won out. FT mostly trades the forex markets and although he plays FTSE on occasions his bread and butter market is $. Read more from FT on commodities trading and spread betting on the Paddy Power blog at PaddyPowerTrader.com
What Is The Best Way To Learn Forex Trading
To learn forex trading the easy way , there are a few things that you should do. Doing these things will help you become successful in the FX market . So, what I’m going to do is share with you some of the things you can do to learn forex trading.
That way, you’ll be able to make money quickly in the FX market .
The first thing you can do to learn forex trading is to understand the terms and trading styles. There are a few terms that you need to understand if you want to excel in the FX market. These are terms like Pip, rollover, and currency pair.
You should also understand the two basic trading styles in forex . The two styles are fundamental trading and technical trading.
After you’ve familiarized yourself with the forex trading terms, you should sign up for a demo account. This is a great way to learn forex trading the easy way. With your demo account, you’ll be able to practice trading forex without risking your money. This will help you understand the process.
You should practice until you become comfortable with trading forex . Once you understand the process, you should then sign up for a real account and start trading live.
Make sure you get yourself a forex robot when trading. The robot will help you find opportunities that will result in making a quick profit.
These are some of the things you can do to learn forex trading the easy. The FX market is a great way to make a lot of money . So, use the tips above to learn forex.
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The Best Forex Trading Platforms
The two most recommended Forex Platforms:
Easy Forex is a foreign currency exchange trading platform that helps new traders learn how to manage forex transactions, and provides tools for experienced traders to excel at trading.
ForexYard is an online foreign currency exchange trading service. It is designed so that a new trader can sign up and start trading in a matter of minutes. They provide education and strong support.
What are Trading Platforms?
Once you enter online forex trading world it demands certain computer knowledge whether you like it or not. As a forex trader you are faced with computer tasks, one of which is installing and using forex trading software .
Many of us just follow the instructions of a forex broker to install and download the trading software without thinking twice, but do we really know what the term software means?
A simple example might help. When you rent another episode of Sopranos on DVD you actually bring home software that is stored on that DVD. Your DVD player, on the other hand, can be called a hardware device which reads the software from your Sopranos DVD and shows it to you via TV screen.
In our case, your computer is the hardware and forex trading software is a program with all kind of trading applications and features. Once the software is downloaded and installed your computer is able to open the program and you can enter the trading market.
Who creates forex trading software and how is it done? Professional programmers write Forex trading software using programming languages such as Java, C++ or others. Online forex trading platform is designed to meet the needs of forex traders. The platform has all the necessary components, brokerage services and trading features.
One of the widely used forex trading software is called MetaTrader 4.This trading platform is complex enough to have all the broker services in one place and hundreds of forex brokers are using this particular software as their forex trading platform.
Some forex brokers create their own forex trading software. Many have an option of web-based trading platform, meaning that you don’t have to download and install a thing. You just log into your account using your username and password and aula!!
The main features of all forex trading software, whether MetaTrader 4 or ‘homemade’, are live quotes, graphs and charts, trading tools, technical indicators, profit and loss, margin, open positions, current P&L, trading history and more.
Some of the forex brokers can go even further with their forex trading platform and create all kind of special features for their traders, such as chat rooms, special inside indicators, gaming features and competitions! For example, Easy Forex broker has a very interesting trading feature called ‘InsideView’ – it shows which currency is favored by all the traders of Easy Forex. You can make your decision based on popularity of selected currency pairs! Another example is eToro with its magnificent game-like trading software. No doubt that we are all very serious and professional forex traders, but a touch of a game, especially when it comes to trading competition makes forex trading much more interesting! What can I say, I am a computer geek!! If you loved ‘Diablo’ or even ‘Mario’, gaming trading features are very welcomed!
Whether you Choose forex trading software with MetaTrader 4 forex platform or a broker that provides his own trading software make sure to check every feature before you make a deposit. The best way to familiarize youself with a particular trading platform is of course try the demo.
Do your homework and forex trading will be like spreading butter on a piece of bread!
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Forex Account – Managed Forex Accounts
What is a managed Forex account?
Well in every sense of the word, the name used to describe these accounts is quite direct and forward. There are investment accounts that deal with the Foreign Exchange Markets and the only difference is that the management of these accounts are left to professional financial experts and brokerage companies who specialise in managed Forex accounts.
This service is for the more experienced and savvy investors who do not have the time to manage their various Forex accounts, yet want to have the option to expand their portfolio. The service ensures that everyone can invest in the Forex market , no matter how busy they are. One of the things you need to know about a managed Forex account is that this service comes at a price, and quite a hefty ones sometimes, depending on how many accounts you have.
The price comes at the fact that more resources are expended to manage your account for you, this means that investment decisions are done on your behalf, your account is managed, finances allocated – everything you would normally do on your own – which includes the small details of looking at market movement, price feeds, media watching, analysing data and transforming all of that into an informed decision.
This is a lot of work especially in investment terms – and you will have to pay a price for it. Some managed funds allow you to split your profits with them (in the sense that they use your money and take a percentage of your profits), or you pay them variable fees depending on the services you require from them.
The advantage of this is that you can just as easily expand your investment portfolio whenever you have the finances available and watch your money make money. You also get the entire wisdom of an a brokerage or financial institution, which means your money will be managed well by a team of people who have been investing in the Fx market for a very long time .
From innumerable Forex traders and groups in the region of the world that have chosen (and these corporations still are running on choosing more brokers in a continuous progression) an stupendous assemblage of traders covering diverse Forex trading techniques , trading techniques and threat levels.
For every one of them they do provide milieu information and up to date record of accomplishment. Those guests who settle on to endow with individual or more funds will locate particulars concerning the adviser used and regarding the development of opening financial credit and be capable of applying for forms. It is recommended that anybody going into these managed Forex accounts to try dividing their accounts among quite a few diverse brokers. These are just some of the things you should know about a managed Forex account and you learn much more from talking to FX brokers and some companies who offer these services . This way, you will be able to decide whether or not a managed Forex account is the one for you.
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Click Here to claim your Free Forex ‘Basic Momentum Analysis’ report today! Christopher Lee helps thousands of traders learn the proper way to trade currency. He is an authority on Forex candlestick trading at www.Forex-Trading-Training.org.
Day Trading For Dummies (For Dummies (Business & Personal Finance))
Whether you are new to forex trading or already is an experienced trader, it is important that you have a stable trading system. A lot of traders put their time into developing the exact entry and exit techniques for a trading system, wanting to enter a trend at the earliest part and get out of the market once there are signs of trend exhausting.
Thus, they often neglect other aspects such as risk to reward ratio, position sizing, money management etc. A forex trading tips for you: It’s easy to create a trading system, but you will need a lot of effort to create a comprehensive and successful one. So where can you find a comprehensive forex trading system ? There are basically 3 ways:
1. Buy A Trading System – You can find tons of forex products out there in the market for sale. But be careful, most are not original and are copied from other forex books, websites, forums etc. So before you buy, do a research online for the product that you are interested in.
Look for the reviews from the people who have bought the product and only consider forex products that gained good reviews. There are forex education and courses which mostly will include a trading system, which may be costly.
2. Create One Yourself Or Modify Other People’s System – You need to have at least some experience in the forex market before you can create a forex trading system yourself. If you are using technical indicators as your trading system, you need to know exactly which indicators can be used together effectively.
Like I said earlier, it is quite easy to create a trading system, but to create that with a perfect combination of indicators need some knowledge. Well, I have created some trading systems myself and they work like fireworks.
If you never create a forex trading system before, what you can do is get someone else’s system and modify it to your preference. Each and every one have their own preferences in their trading, so you may prefer trading by hourly while others prefer by 4 hourly or daily. Set your own sets of rules, e.g. stop loss, target profit, risk-to-reward ratio, when to take in trading signals and other stuffs.
3. Get A Free One – There are books, websites and forum where you can get some free trading systems. They are created by all sorts of people, including newbies in trading. Well, since it’s free and the explanation might not be as detailed, you might have to try it out yourself for a period of time and see whether the systems are suitable for you.
The bottomline is, you might not want to spend hundreds of thousands of dollars to buy those forex courses and education at first, and you want someone or experts in trading to guide you. Fair enough, I came up with a FREE forex ebook to cater for all sorts of people, from beginners to advanced traders. It has most of the forex stuffs in there and of course come with a simple and time-tested trading system that is proven to make money in forex trading.
Trading for beginners part 1
Trading for beginners part 2
Trading for beginners part 3
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By: DanielPips
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To learn a simple and time-tested trading system, download my 56-page Forex Trading To Riches ebook free at www.forextradingpower.com. The author, Daniel S, is the owner of www.ForexTradingPower.com where he provides premium forex tips and resources.